Today there are many predictive theories of Forex price movement and the speed and processing power of modern computers means that programmers can develop ever more complex theories to predict prices so which one is the best? Let’s find out…
Mathematical theories are not new and theories such as Gann, Elliot Wave and Fibonacci have been used by traders for decades and today we have the Forex robots and expert advisors which claim there complex mathematical algorithms can beat the market, so we have a lot of theories to choose from.
In our search for the best mathematical theory, let’s make a point:
Forex markets are moved by humans.
Humans by there very nature do not think logically so markets cannot move to mathematics and they did, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market! For a theory to be mathematical it must work ALL of the time otherwise its not mathematical! No theory that claims to be mathematical works all the time and thats a fact.
So the answer is there is no way of beating the market and no hidden order that allows you to predict Forex price movement but you can win at Forex trading. You must however see the Forex market for what it really is.
The Forex markets move to probabilities, not certainties; the good news is you can spot high odds trades and by trading high odds set ups, you can become a winner in the long term. All you need to do is keep your losses small and run your profits.
Another key fact you need to keep in mind is simple systems, work best in an odds based market and the following fact proves the point.
In the last 100 years, the ratio of winners to losers has not changed and this is despite all the advances we have seen in technology in the period.
Simple systems work best, as they are more robust in the brutal, ever changing world of Forex trading than complex ones which have to many elements to break.
So get yourself a simple Forex trading system and trade the reality of price change as it happens, rather than predicting and you will get the odds on your side. You then simply need to apply your system with discipline, keep your losses small and run your profits.
Traders continue to buy into the Forex robot and Forex expert advisor myth, that claims science can beat the market but all these systems all lose money and do so quickly.
Currency trading success is open to anyone. You can learn to trade successfully, you just have to see the markets for what they really are a market of probabilities. Complex mathematics and technology enriched our lives and made them easier over the years but to assume technology can help you gain an edge and predict the markets is not based on any facts and the opposite is true, simple systems work best and always will.
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